利用MODIS卫星产品分析西南地区云水特征     

林丹 《气象科技》2015,43(1):138-144

采用NASA Goddard Earth Science DAAC发布的2001—2010年MODIS水云云水含量和水云粒子有效半径资料, 选取西南地区（四川、重庆、云南、贵州）,分析了水云云水含量和水云粒子有效半径的多年平均空间分布特征,对年和季节平均水云云水含量和粒子有效半径进行了线性趋势分析,并进行了显著性检验。结果表明：西南地区年和季节多年平均云水含量在海拔高的地方偏少,在海拔低的地方偏多;年和季节多年平均粒子有效半径的空间分布特征与云水含量相反。云水含量具有季节差异性,秋季和夏季是云水含量最丰富的季节,春季和冬季较少;粒子有效半径的季节差异较小。10年中云水含量呈减少趋势,春季和冬季云水含量减少趋势明显;而粒子有效半径无显著变化趋势。  相似文献   

低温雨雪过程的粒子群-神经网络预报模型   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

陆虹  翟盘茂  覃卫坚  金龙  谢敏  钱晰  赵华生 《应用气象学报》2015,26(5):513-524

利用逐日气温和降水量数据、NCEP/NCAR再分析资料以及预报场资料,通过分析提取我国南方区域持续性低温雨雪过程及其预报因子,使用粒子群-神经网络方法建立非线性的统计集合预报模型 (PSONN-EPM),对我国南方区域持续性低温雨雪过程进行预报试验。结果表明:以过程的冷湿程度及影响范围为标准,将低温雨雪过程分为一般过程和严重过程,并建立不同的预报模型效果较好。通过10 d独立样本预报试验看,基于粒子群-神经网络方法建立的集合预报模型比基于逐步回归方法建立的预报模型的预报平均相对误差小,对严重过程预报能力高于对一般过程预报,且这种非线性统计集合建模方法在建模过程中不需要调整神经网络参数,在实际预报业务中值得尝试。  相似文献   

Models of high velocity impacts into dust-covered ice: Application to Martian northern lowlands     

A. Reufer  N. Thomas  S. Byrne  C. Dundas 《Planetary and Space Science》2010,58(10):1160-1168

The detection of fresh impact craters with bright floors and ejecta (arising from fresh clean water ice) in the northern lowlands of Mars (Byrne et al., 2009b, Science 325, 1674), together with observations of polygonal structures and evidence from the Phoenix probe, suggests that there are substantial water ice deposits just below the surface over large areas. Specifically in cases of the larger craters observed, the impacts themselves may have raised the temperature and the pressure of the water ice deposits locally to values which allow phase changes. In this paper, we use smoothed particle hydrodynamics to model hyper-velocity impacts. We estimate peak shock pressures in a solid water ice target covered by a layer of loose material, modeled by pre-damaged dunite. In addition, we account for the possibility of a thin layer of sub-surface water ice by using a three-layer model where the ice is surrounded by dunite. We find that the peak shock pressures reached in the simulated events are high enough to produce several 100-1000 kg of liquid water depending upon the impact parameters and the exact shock pressure needed for the phase change. A difficulty remains however in determining whether liquid is generated or whether a type of fluidized ice is produced (or indeed some combination of the two). We also note that the process can become rather complex as the number of layers increases because of reflections of the shock at sub-surface boundaries—a process which should lead to increased fluidization.  相似文献   

基于细观力学的混凝土劈拉破坏率相关特性研究     

秦川  张楚汉 《岩土力学》2010,31(12):3771-3777

提出了一种高效的混凝土细观力学预处理方法,其中包括基于背景网格的骨料投放与细观三组分的识别;建立了颗粒离散元的混凝土细观力学模型。利用该模型对不同应变率下混凝土的劈拉试验进行了数值仿真,仿真结果显示出的混凝土动力强度提高的规律以及不同应变率下混凝土的破坏模式与试验结果吻合较好。研究表明,随着应变率的提高,混凝土破坏时产生更多弥散状分布的裂纹,同时有些裂纹穿过强度较高的骨料,导致混凝土在高应变率破坏过程中消耗更多的能量,是混凝土的动力强度提高的重要原因。此外,在高应变率下,力链产生更多的分叉,空间分布的不均匀性和随机性增加,因此,在高应变率下混凝土动力强度表现出更大的离散性。  相似文献   

基于PSO-PP的围岩稳定性评价   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

徐飞  徐卫亚  温森  刘造保  赵延喜 《岩土力学》2010,31(11):3651-3655

围岩的稳定性评价是一个复杂的不确定系统问题。结合投影寻踪方法、粒子群算法和逻辑斯谛曲线函数,建立了围岩稳定性评价的粒子群优化投影寻踪(projection pursuit based on particle swarm optimization,PSO-PP)模型。该模型一方面采用粒子群算法优化投影指标函数及逻辑斯谛曲线函数参数,确保了模型的准确性;另一方面利用逻辑斯谛曲线函数建立投影值与经验等级之间的非线性关系。模型的测试结果显示了良好的精度,实例分析结果与实际状态完全一致,表明该模型在围岩稳定性评价中的可行性和有效性。  相似文献   

吉林延边地区浅成热液金(铜)矿床的~(40)Ar/~(39)Ar激光探针测年与成矿时代讨论          下载免费PDF全文

赵羽军  孙景贵  王清海  门兰静  李怡欣  郭佳  崔培龙 《地学前缘》2010,17(2):156

延边地区是中国东北部陆缘浅成热液金铜矿床发育的地区之一,广泛发育着浅成热液金矿床、中温热液金(铜)矿床和中深成中高温热液富金铜矿床(类斑岩型);富金铜矿床的成矿时代发生在105～102 Ma,为了进一步确定浅成热液金矿床与中深成中高温热液富金铜矿床的成矿动力学背景,采用流体包裹体的~(40)Ar/~(39)Ar激光探针定年法,对该区典型浅成热液金矿床进行了精细的年代学测定,获得刺猬沟金矿床、五星山金矿床和杜荒岭金矿床的脉石矿物石英流体包裹体的~(40)Ar/~(39)Ar等时线年龄分别为(141±7)Ma、(123±7)Ma和(107±6)Ma,其中刺猬沟金矿床((141±7)Ma)和五星山金矿床((123±7)Ma)的脉石矿物石英流体包裹体含有过剩放射性成因~(40)Ar,而杜荒岭金矿床((107±6)Ma)的脉石矿物石英流体包裹体几乎不含或含极少量过剩放射性成因~(40)Ar。结合最新获得的相关地质体的精细年代学成果,认定该区浅成热液金矿床成矿作用均发生在早白垩世晚期,或发生在早白垩世晚期火山喷发、浅成岩浆就位之后,其形成环境与富金铜矿床一致,为古太平洋板块向亚洲大陆正北向俯冲转入Izanagi-Farallon板块西向俯冲的构造转换期。  相似文献   

洞庭盆地中更新世洞庭湖组砾石特征及其意义   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陈建成  柏道远  李长安  周柯军  黄文义  陈渡平 《华南地质与矿产》2010,(4):16-22

对位于洞庭盆地安乡凹陷东南部的两护村ZKC1孔中更新世洞庭湖组砾石层进行了粒度和砾态的统计分析。结果表明,砾石的粒度变化反映出2个较大尺度的由大→小的旋回,早旋回由洞庭湖组下段砂砾层组成,晚旋回由洞庭湖组中段上部的砂砾层组成,反映出中更新世早-中期安乡凹陷的两次由慢→快的幕式沉降过程。在上述2个大的粒度旋回之上,叠加有多个更小尺度的砾石粗、细变化,主要与气候干湿的频繁波动有关。洞庭湖组中段顶部砾石的磨圆度明显偏低,反映其沉积时期盆地沉降和周缘隆起区抬升活动的增强。  相似文献   

城市元胞自动机扩展邻域效应的测量与校准研究   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

廖江福  唐立娜  王翠平  许通 《地理科学进展》2014,33(12):1624-1633

城市元胞模型由于在定量分析与预测城市动态的潜力而受到众多研究者的持续关注.邻域规则是主导城市元胞模型模拟过程的关键组件.研究表明,不同土地利用组合间存在显著的邻域效应,且邻域效应具有惯性、排斥和吸引等影响.然而,传统城市元胞模型主要考虑的是特定分辨率下较小窗口的邻域范围.本文尝试刻画更大窗口的邻域效应及其对元胞模型的影响.基于测量的扩展邻域因子,应用粒子群优化算法校准大窗口邻域规则,并创建了考虑扩展邻域效应的城市元胞模型.为验证模型有效性,将其应用于模拟厦门市1995-2010年期间的城市扩张动态.与3×3摩尔邻域的逻辑回归模型相比较,1995-2010年期间的建设用地模拟精度从80.7％提高到83.9％,总体精度从87.8％提高到89.6％,Kappa系数从70.0％提高到74.5％,表明考虑扩展邻域效应的城市模型取得了更好的模拟效果.  相似文献   

Geospatial spreadsheets with microscale air quality visualization and synchronization for supporting multiple-scenario visual collaboration     

Seung Man An  Ho-Young Lee  Byungsoo Kim  Chae-Yeon Yi  Jeong-Hee Eum 《International journal of geographical information science》2014,28(12):2511-2532

A major obstacle of the interdisciplinary communications for decision-making is that each participant prefers the solution from their own area because current collaboration systems cannot effectively mediate among many alternatives. If a visual collaboration system could display multiple alternatives in a single visual presentation, users would be able to compare alternatives with only a few variables, where all other parameters are fixed, at least from a visual perspective. In this study, we developed a visualization tool to support a microscale air quality (MSAQ) management group, the members of which often need to compare the effects of many alternative control methods. The main achievements of this study are: (1) three-dimensional (3D) visualization of the MSAQ using a 3D city model and (2) development of a geospatial spreadsheet (GS) to facilitate visual comparisons, thereby improving decision-making by making it easy to compare differences based on realistic visual display items. A questionnaire-based survey showed that use of the GS could generate a shared perspective and provide a spatiotemporal context for the participants, thereby making it easy to compare, mediate and reach decisions when confronted with many alternatives.  相似文献   

Research on the critical conditions for clay particle release during saline aquifer freshening process     

Xilai Zheng  Ran Chen 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2014,13(4):628-636

Water sensitivity phenomenon occurs during saline aquifer freshening process in seawater intrusion area, and clay particles released in the phenomenon can damage the infiltration capacity of the aquifer. In order to find out the factors and mechanisms for clay particle release, laboratory column infiltration experiments simulating saline aquifer freshening process were designed to measure the critical conditions(critical flow velocity, critical salt concentration and critical ionic strength) and force analysis for clay particle according to DLVO electric double layer theory was employed to illustrate the mechanisms for particle release. The research results showed that critical flow velocity for clay particle release is influenced by salt concentration of injecting solution. When salt concentration of injecting solution is very high, clay particles are not released, indicating that there does not exist a critical flow velocity in this situation. As salt concentration of injecting solution decreases, particles start to be released. The critical salt concentration for clay particle release is 0.052 mol L-1 in our work, which was determined by a constant-flux experiment for stepwise displacement of high concentration Na Cl solution. The critical ionic strength for clay particle release decreases as Ca2+ molar content percentage of the mixed solution of Na Cl and Ca Cl2 increases following the first-order exponential decay equation y = 0.0391e-0.266 x + 0.0015.  相似文献